LOS ANGELES – New research has found that many lawyers overestimate their chance of success in their cases. Although women tend to more accurately predict outcomes, a lawyer’s career experience did not seem to make much difference.

Elizabeth Loftus, a professor at the University of California, Irvine School of Law and the co-author of the study, said that in determining the accuracy of lawyers’ predictions, she and her colleagues compared them to meteorologists — the gold standard of prognosticators.